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Investigations
Stuart A. Kauffman
As a
rule, when a distinguished scientist says he's come up with
a fourth law of thermodynamics, he's wrong. In Investigations,
Stuart Kauffman may be the exception.
The three laws of thermodynamics have been summarised as:
"you can't win", "you can't break even",
and "you can't get out of the game". Kauffman's
candidate for a fourth law is: "but the game keeps
getting more complicated, and there are always different
ways to play."
One of Kauffman's key concepts is that of the adjacent possible.
Imagine a set of things that exists in a particular system
(such as a group of reacting chemicals, or an ecological
community, or the kinds of toys available in a capitalist
economy). The adjacent possible is the set of things that
are only one step away from actual existence. Like potential
energy in physics, the adjacent possible is a metaphysical
idea with real utility.
You can think of "normal science" (as described
by Thomas Kuhn in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions)
as proceeding step by step into the adjacent possible. Most
self-styled revolutionary scientific treatises are really
crackpottery. They don't stop in the adjacent possible;
they go wandering across the landscape and over the speculative
horizon. Investigations may be the real thing. Kauffman
is pushing into the adjacent possible at many points, from
biology, chemistry, thermodynamics, and economics. As he
says, "whatever Investigations is--useful, as I hope,
or foolish--it is not normal science." --Mary Ellen
Curtin
Synopsis
"It may be that I have stumbled upon an adequate description
of life itself." These modest yet profound words trumpet
an imminent paradigm shift in scientific, economic, and
technological thinking. In the tradition of Schrodinger's
classic "What Is Life?", Kauffman's "Investigations"
is a tour-de-force exploration of the very essence of life
itself, with conclusions that radically undermine the scientific
approaches on which modern science rests--the approaches
of Newton, Boltzman, Bohr,
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Universality
Mark Ward
Synopsis
We are surrounded by order that physics cannot explain.
The spread of veins in the back of your hand mirror the
spread of branches on a tree; fern leaves look a lot like
maps of fjords; and the pulse patterns of your heartbeat
resemble some classical music. But the theory of universality
uses fractal patterns to explain much of the world around
us. Universality argues that there are similar patterns
behind the most unpredictable events, such as earthquakes,
avalanches, stock market crashes, and even the way businesses
are run and the way fashions come and go. While identifying
patterns does not mean we can always predict what will happen
next, some of the trends scientists are noticing could deepen
our understanding of natural phenomena and our relationship
to them.
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The
Structure of Scientific Revolutions
Thomas S. Kuhn
There's a comic strip showing a chick breaking out of its
shell, looking around, and saying, "Oh, wow! Paradigm
shift!" Blame the late Thomas Kuhn. Few indeed are
the philosophers or historians influential enough to make
it into the funny papers, but Kuhn is one.
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions is indeed a paradigmatic
work in the history of science. Kuhn's use of terms such
as "paradigm shift" and "normal science",
his ideas of how scientists move from disdain through doubt
to acceptance of a new theory, his stress on social and
psychological factors in science--all have had profound
effects on historians, scientists, philosophers, critics,
writers, business gurus, and even the cartoonist in the
street.
Some scientists (such as Steven Weinberg and Ernst Mayr)
are profoundly irritated by Kuhn, especially by the doubts
he casts--or the way his work has been used to cast doubt--on
the idea of scientific progress. Yet it has been said that
the acceptance of plate tectonics in the 1960s, for instance,
was sped by geologists' reluctance to be on the downside
of a paradigm shift. Even Weinberg has said that "structure
has had a wider influence than any other book on the history
of science". As one of Kuhn's obituaries noted, "We
all live in a post-Kuhnian age." --Mary Ellen Curtin
Synopsis
Thomas S. Kuhn's work explaining the process of scientific
discovery. This text is the third edition and incorporates
a new index
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Bounded
Rationality
Gerd Gigerenzer, Reinhard Selten
Synopsis
How do people, animals, and institutions make decisions
in a complex and uncertain world? Rational choice theory
answers this question from the perspective of an omniscient
and omnipotent superintelligence that decides by optimizing.
In contrast, this book promotes the concept of the "adaptive
toolbox," a repertoire of fast and frugal heuristics
for real people with limited time, knowledge, and resources.
It views bounded rationality neither as optimality under
constraints nor as the study of people's reasoning fallacies.
The strategies in the adaptive toolbox dispense with optimization
and, for the most part, with calculations of probabilities
and utilities. The book extends the concept of bounded rationality
from cognitive tools to emotions; it analyzes social norms,
imitation, and other cultural tools as rational strategies;
and it shows how smart strategies can exploit the structures
of environments. It brings together experts from cognitive
science, economics, evolutionary biology, and anthropology
to create an interdisciplinary basis for understanding the
adaptive toolbox.
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At Home in the Universe
Stuart Kauffman
Synopsis
Complexity theory is one of the most controversial areas
of current scientific research. Developing out of chaos
theory, complexity suggests that there are hidden tendencies
in nature to select ordered states, even when statistically
they are vastly outnumbered by chaotic possibilities: that
there is a deep natural impulse towards order, counteracting
the degenerative tendencies of the Second Law of Thermodynamics.
Like chaos, complexity is a multidisciplinary area of research
and those involved include physicists, economists and biologists.
This is a study of complexity
Enthusiastic complexity theory, 29 October, 2000
Reviewer: A reader from La Palma, Canarias, Spain
An eye-opener on how closely certain mathematical models
can reproduce, or mimic, real life behaviour. Kauffman describes
and discusses the complex behaviour exhibited by autocatalytic
sets - webs of interacting chemicals and catalysts (real
and simulated), individually with simple behaviour and rules
of interaction, but en masse producing complex systems with
non-trivial reactions to environment and other systems.
This leads naturally into a discussion of evolution where
we are treated to a more refined, but perhaps less real-world,
discussion of the mechanics of evolution than that provided
by more popular authors (e.g. Dawkins). Kauffman describes
evolution not only as a process of natural selection, but
also as the interaction of complex systems with their environments,
discussing how single systems or entire species may move
around and interactively modify fitness landscapes to acquire
the highest peaks. These necessarily general models are
convincingly tied to specific, real-world examples, and
the result is a clear impression of a fast developing field
with relevance to real life, the extent of that relevance
remaining to be seen.
Unsurprisingly, the book ends up somewhat speculative, but
unfortunately chooses to direct this speculation at economics.
The writing occasionally becomes somehwat "gee gosh
darn". And while I'm on petty complaints, I found the
occasional stabs at human interest to be distracting and
unnecessary, but that's a common problem with popular science
writing.
Finally, I don't think this is the kind of book to change
lives. Interesting, certainly, occasionally surprising,
and full of fairly new ideas, but I found that Kauffman
repeatedly stopped short of saying anything really profound.
Yes, "we the expected" is a fascinating concept
so why _end_ the chapter with it? Likewise, the "invisible
hand" is a leading analogy, then so what...? Fundamentally,
I think the book sits firmly on the fence when it comes
to religion, or lack thereof, other reviewers notwithstanding
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Analogy
Making as Perception
Melanie Mitchell
Synopsis
The psychologist William James observed that "a native
talent for perceiving analogies is...the leading fact in
genius of every order". The centrality and the ubiquity
of analogy in creative thought have been noted again and
again by scientists, artists and writers, and understanding
and modelling analogical thought have emerged as two of
the most important challenges for cognitive science. "Analogy
Making as Perception" is based on the premise that
analogy-making is fundamentally a high-level perceptual
process in which the interaction of perception and concepts
gives rise to "conceptual slippages" which allow
analogies to be made. It describes Copycat - a computer
model of analogy-making, developed by the author with Douglas
Hofstadter, that models the complex, subconscious interaction
between perception and concepts that underlies the creation
of analogies. In Copycat, both concepts and high-level perception
are emergent phenomena, arising from large numbers of low-level,
parallel, non-deterministic activities. In the spectrum
of cognitive modeling approachers, Copycat occupies a unique
intermediate position between symbolic systems and connectionist
systems - a position that is at present the most useful
one for understanding the fluidity of concepts and high-level
perception. On one level the work described here is about
analogy making, but on another level it is about cognition
in general. It explores such issues as the nature of concepts
and perception and the emergence of highly flexible concepts
from a lower-level "subcognitive" substrate.
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Linked:
The New Science of Networks
Albert-László Barabási
Synopsis
This work explores the new science of networks and their
impact on nature, business, medicine, and everyday life.
In the 1980s, James Gleick's "Chaos" introduced
the world to complexity. Now, Albert-Laszlo Barabsi's "Linked"
reveals the next major scientific leap: the study of networks.
We've long suspected that we live in a small world, where
everything is connected to everything else. Indeed, networks
are pervasive - from the human brain to the Internet to
the economy to our group of friends. These linkages, it
turns out, aren't random. All networks, to the great surprise
of scientists, have an underlying order and follow simple
laws. Understanding the structure and behaviour of these
networks will help us do some amazing things, from designing
the optimal organization of a firm to stopping a disease
outbreak before it spreads catastrophically. In this work,
Barabasi traces the development of this rapidly unfolding
science and introduces us to the scientists carrying out
this pioneering work. These "new cartographers"
are mapping networks in a wide range of scientific disciplines,
proving that social networks, corporations, and cells are
more similar than they are different, and providing important
new insights into the interconnected world around us. This
title provides a preview of the next century in science,
which should be transformed by these amazing discoveries.
Great
explanatory power!, 3 July, 2002
Reviewer: coert.visser@wxs.nl from Driebergen Netherlands
Nowadays, everybody talks about networks. Yet, what networks
really are and how they function, often remains rather vague
in conversations. This book offers great insight into the
evolution, the structure and the relevance of networks.
The author, Albert Barabási, himself a creative and
important
contributor to network science, makes the rapid and fascinating
advances made in this field comprehensible.
Our world is filled with complex networks, webs of highly
connected nodes. Not all nodes are equal, however. In fact,
in many real-world complex networks, there is a typical
hierarchy of nodes (called a POWERLAW DISTRIBUTION). This
means there are a few extremely well connected nodes (these
are called HUBS), there are quite a few moderately connected
nodes and there are large numbers of tiny nodes (having
very few connections to
other nodes). The Internet, for instance, has only several
hubs -like amazon.com and Yahoo - and countless tiny nodes
-like my own website :-(.
The structure of networks with a powerlaw distribution is
called a SCALEFREE TOPOLOGY. Such a scale free topology
is found in networks that 1)are GROWING (extra nodes and
links emerge), and 2) are characterised by PREFERENTIAL
ATTACHMENT (this means that some links are far more
likely to get linked than others). Preferential attachment,
is driven by two factors: 1) the number of links the node
already has (this is in fact the first mover advantage:
a nodes that has been there since the early evelopment of
the network gets the biggest chance to get connected), and
2) the node's fitness (for instance a new website offering
a truely unique service has an excellent chance to get many
links).
A fascinating characteristic of scale free networks is the
following. The density of the interconnectivity paradoxically
creates two properties at the same time: 1) ROBUSTNESS
(removing nodes will not easily lead to the breakdown of
the network, precisely because of the fact that all nodes
are connected. Only simultaneous removal of the largest
hubs will break down the network), and 2) VULNERABILITY
TO ATTACK (because of the fact that all nodes are indirectely
connected to each other failures, like viruses, can very
easily spread through the whole network. This fenomenon
is called 'cascading failures'.
Reading
this book made me realise that the recently acquired knowledge
about networks is revolutionizing many fields of science,
like biology, medical science and economics. Also, the practical
applications will be numerous, like protecting the internet,
fighting terrorist networks, finding a cure for cancer (!),
and developing new organizational forms.
A
brilliant overview of a fascinating new area of science,
25 June, 2002
Reviewer: Dr D Evans from Gloucestershire, United Kingdom
This is one of the clearest, most original and most exciting
popular-science books I have ever read. It manages to get
across the main points of network theory with a minimum
of technical jargon, and yet without oversimplification.
Many natural and artificial systems can profitably be viewed
as networks in which a number of nodes are connected by
links. For many years, the only networks that mathematicians
studied were so-called 'random graphs' in which all nodes
had more or less the same number of links. But in the late
1990s, when Albert Barabasi, a physicist at the University
of Nortre Dame, began to study real networks such as the
World Wide Web, he realised that they are rarely structured
like random graphs. In most real networks, it turns out,
the connectivity distribution decays as a power law - which
means that there is no such thing as a 'typical node'. Instead,
there are a few highly-connected nodes and many sparsely
connected nodes.
Since then, Barabasi and his research team at Notre Dame
have found many more examples of networks with this kind
of structure, from the metabolic network of protein-protein
interactions inside cells, to the social ties that link
CEOs in the 'old-boy network'. Despite being composed of
very different kinds of element, all these systems share
certain interesting properties simply because they have
similar structures. In other words, you can discover certain
things about a network simply by looking at its connectivity.
All this is fascinating in its own right, but it's even
better to get the message 'from the horse's mouth', rather
than from a journalist. I've followed the author's papers
in Nature with great interest over the past few years, but
it was nice to have an overview of the whole field of network
theory that stands back and presents the general context
as well as the specific details.
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A
New Kind of Science
Stephen Wolfram
Physics and computer science genius Stephen Wolfram, sets
his sights on a daunting goal: understanding the universe.
A New Kind of Science is a gorgeous, 1,280-page tome more
than a decade in the making. With patience, insight, and self-confidence
to spare, Wolfram outlines a fundamental new way of modelling
complex systems.
On the frontier of complexity science since he was a boy,
Wolfram is a champion of cellular automata--256 "programs"
governed by simple non-mathematical rules. He points out that
even the most complex equations fail to accurately model biological
systems, but the simplest cellular automata can produce results
straight out of nature--tree branches, stream eddies, and
leopard spots, for instance. The graphics in A New Kind of
Science show striking resemblance to the patterns we see in
nature every day.
Wolfram wrote the book in a distinct style meant to make it
easy to read, even for non-techies; a basic familiarity with
logic is helpful but not essential. Readers will find themselves
swept away by the elegant simplicity of Wolfram's ideas and
the accidental artistry of the cellular automaton models.
Whether or not Wolfram's revolution ultimately gives us the
keys to the universe, his new science is absolutely awe-inspiring.
--Therese Littleton
Book Description
"This book promises to revolutionize science as we know
it" - Daily Telegraph "Stephen's magnum opus may
be the book of the decade if not the century" - Arthur
C Clarke Long-awaited work from one of the world's most respected
scientists presents a series of dramatic discoveries never
before made public. Starting with a collection of computer
experiments, Wolfram shows how their unexpected results force
a whole new way of looking at the universe. A seminal work
of enormous importance.
Terrific
non-traditional research, 19 August, 2002
Reviewer: stephenmuires from Denmark
'A new kind of science' came out in May 2002 and seems to
slowly generate all manner of responses, many of them unsure
and contradictory. There don't seem to be many top scientific
responses (I may be wrong), they probably can't take the
book very seriously. Of course it's not written as a technical
paper, but is instead very pleasantly readable. Personally
I think this is the most important feature of the book:
my standpoint is that if you want to get a message through
to me write it in a way that I can understand without me
needing 5 university degrees, otherwise don't bother.
So what about the message itself? This is hardly the place
for it, even if I could explain it any better than Wolfram.
There is one point, though, that the book gratifyingly confirms
for me. I have become stuck looking at Artificial Intelligence:
the simplest piece of functionality seems to require very
complex mathematical models and even then the results are
primitive and disappointing. Now I KNOW that I do not have
advanced mathematical analyses going on in my head when
recognizing a blue square and noticing it is different from
a red triangle. So what's the point simulating this process
in software using highly complex models? This cannot be
the way to go. And Wolfram seems to have found the reasons
that confirm this intuition. Very simple initial conditions
and very simple transformation rules can produce unlimited
complexity. You do not need complexity to produce complexity
(or intelligence). For me this is a useful insight, prodding
the search for AI that simplifies the process of intelligence,
not complicates it even further.
This book is clearly worth study. Just the fact that it
exists and that someone has done this non-traditional research
is terrific.
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